The Link Between EU Agri Food Sector Protectionism and the Value of ACP Trade Preferences Highlighted

 

Summary
The WTO has once again highlighted the EU’s extensive use of tariffs and non-tariff measures to manage EU agri-food markets. Preferred ACP exporters benefit from these protectionist EU trade policies, with any movement away from these policies potentially see mainly ACP/LDC exporters losing out to the tune of €1.6 billion.  The prospects of such losses are very real with regard to the UK market, where there is strong pressure under the current MFN tariff review to abandon MFN tariffs where the UK has no or only limited production interests to protect. Looking forward, within the EU, a long standing insistence on abolishing quantitative restrictions on imports from the EU under economic partnership agreements concluded with ACP countries, is being given new impetus with the creation a Chief Trade Enforcement Office, dedicated to making sure existing trade agreement commitments by 3rd countries are fully implemented. Such a course of action however sits uneasily with the EU’s own extensive use of quantitative restrictions in sensitive agri-food sectors. Read more “The Link Between EU Agri Food Sector Protectionism and the Value of ACP Trade Preferences Highlighted”

Will St Lucia Continue to Have an Export Trade Relationship with the UK once the UK Leaves the EU Customs and Single Market?

Summary
With the UK’s current MFN tariff review posing the question: should the UK government remove all tariffs where the UK has ‘zero or limited production interest’,  the St Lucian banana sector could lose significant  margins of tariff preferences which could prove to be the final nail in the coffin of St Lucia’s banana exports to Europe. The UK is the only EU market served by St Lucian banana exports with bananas accounting for fully 83% of total exports to the UK. This could see only a marginal residual export trade relationship remaining from 2021. With the UK market taking more in exports from St. Lucia than all the other EU27 market combined, this would also profoundly undermine St Lucia’s export trade relationship with the EU. Given the basis the banana trade provides for ongoing efforts at agricultural export diversification, retaining in place existing UK MFN tariffs is essential to St Lucia’s continued trade relationship with the UK Read more “Will St Lucia Continue to Have an Export Trade Relationship with the UK once the UK Leaves the EU Customs and Single Market?”

UK to Strike Out on Bold New Trade Policy but Will Africa and the Caribbean Take the Hit?

 

Summary
The UK has formally announced the launch of an on-line public consultation on its future MFN tariff regime.  This consultation appears limited to UK stakeholders and largely ignores the UK’s trade and development commitments enshrined in a host of preferential trade arrangements the UK has sought to ‘roll over’. The value of these ‘rolled-over’ trade arrangements would be profoundly undermined by any move towards the kind of zero UK MFN tariff regime which the Secretary of State appears to be championing. Some €1.5 billion in African and Caribbean exports, mainly from Commonwealth countries would be adversely affected, with 8 countries seeing over 70% of their current direct exports to the UK adversely affected and a further 7 countries likely to see between 46% and 69% of their direct exports to the UK adversely affected. With no formal structure for dialogue with the UK government operative, there is a need for special initiatives from African and Caribbean governments to place their concerns around the current UK MFN tariff review on the table for consideration by the UK government. Read more “UK to Strike Out on Bold New Trade Policy but Will Africa and the Caribbean Take the Hit?”

Opening Salvoes Setting Out UK ‘Redlines’ in UK/EU Negotiations Pose Challenges for ACP Triangular Supply Chains

 

Summary
The UK governments rejection of binding commitments on regulatory alignment with the EU and insistence on preparing for full border controls if a comprehensive FTA with the EU cannot be agreed and in place by 1st January 2021 is causing concern in business circles. The British Ports Authorities has described this new policy approach as likely to create a situation which looks ‘a bit like a no-deal’. This could seriously disrupt the functioning of ACP supply chains which serve UK markets for short shelf life horticulture and floriculture products via initial ports of landing in EU27 member states. Special arrangements for the handling of this onward trade are required if a range of ACP exporters of short shelf life horticulture and floriculture products are not to be driven out of the UK market.  These special arrangements need to be agreed in a matter of weeks if private sector operators are to make the necessary investments in ensuring the continued smooth flow of ACP goods to the UK market along these triangular supply chains from 1st January 2021. Read more “Opening Salvoes Setting Out UK ‘Redlines’ in UK/EU Negotiations Pose Challenges for ACP Triangular Supply Chains”

EU Organic Import Control Implementing Regulation Highlights Potential for Brexit Related Trade Administration Based Disruption of ACP Exports

 

Summary
Changes in the administration of the Certificate of Organic Inspection (COI) in the EU’s TRACES computerised trade facilitation system, aimed at strengthening traceability along organic supply chains have given rise to problems which could see some imports of organic products from ACP countries diverted back onto the general market, at substantial commercial cost to the ACP exporters concerned. The potential problem however has been swiftly identified and existing dialogue structures have been used to raise with the EC the specific concerns of ACP organic exporters. The EC has swiftly proposed modifications to the TRACES reporting scheme, with ACP exporters now being invited to clarify whether this solution addresses the administrative problem which had arisen. This issue in the organic sector highlights the vital importance of ensuring the smooth functioning of trade administration arrangements to ACP suppliers of short shelf life products. It raises serious concerns over the absence of any formal institutionalised mechanisms for ACP trade dialogue with the UK, should problems in trade administration documentation arise within the process of the UK’s departure from the EU customs union and single market. Read more “EU Organic Import Control Implementing Regulation Highlights Potential for Brexit Related Trade Administration Based Disruption of ACP Exports”

The UKs Commitment to Regulatory Divergence Could Complicate Functioning of ACP Triangular Supply Chain Exports to the UK Market

 

Summary
Recent statements by the UK government committing it to regulatory divergence from the EU once it has left the EU customs union is causing concerns in the UK food and drink sector that this will sound the death knell of frictionless trade with the EU. While it remains unclear to what extent the desire not to be governed by EU defined rules will translate it actual regulatory divergence, serious issues arise for ACP exporters of short shelf life agri-food products who serve the UK market along supply chains which pass through EU27 member states. This is leading to calls for the UK and EU authorities to:

  • waive any need for customs checks for good transiting EU27 member states where duty free-quota free access if enjoyed to both the UK and EU27 markets under parallel ‘rolled-over’ trade arrangements;
  • waive any need for UK phytosanitary checks on the basis of an EU commitment to the continued conduct of phytosanitary checks on imports destined for the UK market;
  • the communication of these commitments to concerned supply chain stakeholders and supporting the establishment of logistical and administrative arrangements to ensure the continued smooth flow of short shelf life products along triangular supply chains.

Read more “The UKs Commitment to Regulatory Divergence Could Complicate Functioning of ACP Triangular Supply Chain Exports to the UK Market”

UK Africa Investment Conference Aims to Boost UK Trade With Africa But What of Current African Exports to the UK?

 

Summary

While the UK government has launched a UK-Africa investment conference to showcase the financial services the City of London can offer in mobilising investment financing, it is neglecting a range of nuts and bolts trade issues in the agri-food sector which could profoundly impact on around €1 billion in African exports to the UK market. This includes sectors which in the past 20 years have attracted considerable investment in export orientated production and which have generated 100,000 of employment opportunities. These issues, notably in regard to the UK’s future MFN tariff regime and the administrative measures which need to be taken to ensure the continued smooth functioning of triangular supply chains, which serve the UK market via the Netherlands and Belgium need to be urgently addressed. Read more “UK Africa Investment Conference Aims to Boost UK Trade With Africa But What of Current African Exports to the UK?”

Entry into Force of New EU Plant health Regulation Could Pose Serious Challenges for ACP Horticulture Exporters

Summary

EU phytosanitary controls are becoming increasingly stringent and administratively demanding. Almost all fruit and vegetable products will now require phytosanitary certificates and be subject to document checks which are being applied with varying degrees of rigour by different national EU phytosanitary authorities. For high risk products comprehensive documentation on control measures in place will need to be submitted in advance, if continued access to the EU market is to be allowed. These stricter EU import controls will require the adoption of pre-export pest control and verification measures. The costs increasing effects this gives rise to could drive smaller ACP exporters out of the EU market, although it is Kenyan pepper exports who have been the first to diversify away from the EU market to lower priced but more reliably accessible markets in the Middle East. The scale of ACP exports potentially adversely affected is huge. However, the UK’s departure from the EU customs union and single market could offer some relief if future UK risk assessments for phytosanitary controls were to be based solely on UK agri-climatic conditions and patterns of production and not pan EU agri-climatic conditions and patterns of production. Read more “Entry into Force of New EU Plant health Regulation Could Pose Serious Challenges for ACP Horticulture Exporters”

Conservative Party Election Victory Mean Full Speed Ahead with Brexit and Raises The Threat of Loss of ACP Tariff Preference as a Result of Post-Brexit UK MFN Tariff Choices

Summary
The Conservative Party’s election victory which has delivered a 80 seat majority means Parliamentary approval of the Withdrawal Agreement can now go ahead and the UK can leave the EU on 31st January 2020. The UK will however remain part of the EU customs union and single market until at least 1st January 2021. The size of the majority means the influence of the ERG hard Brexit group of Conservative MPs will be reduced. This will give Prime Minister Johnson more space to extend UK membership of the EU customs union and single market if the conclusion of a comprehensive free trade area agreement by 1st January 2021 proves unrealistic. In this context the major issue facing ACP exporters in the first half of 2020 will be the impact of the scheduled UK-Only MFN tariff review on the value of rolled over ACP tariff references, with bananas, preserved tuna, fresh beans and certain value added cocoa products looking vulnerable to a loss of value of rolled over preferences (current ACP direct exports to the UK valued at €936 million). This need to be seen in a context where the UK government has already made the decision to set UK-only MFN tariffs for all other fruit, vegetables and cut flowers at zero (current ACP direct exports to the UK valued at €449 million). The trade effects for these products could be even greater given the volume of exports to the UK which takes place along triangular supply chains focussed on the landing of cargoes in the Netherlands and Belgium prior to onward shipment. The commercial impact of this process of preference erosion will however needs to be assessed on a product by product basis in light of the functioning of individual ACP supply chains and current patterns of UK imports and the tariffs actually levied on this current trade. Read more “Conservative Party Election Victory Mean Full Speed Ahead with Brexit and Raises The Threat of Loss of ACP Tariff Preference as a Result of Post-Brexit UK MFN Tariff Choices”

Non-Tariff Costs For ACP Exporters Will Need to Be Addressed under a ‘No-Deal’ or ‘Hard’ Brexit

Summary
According to UNCTAD trade costs linked to NTM are now higher than tariffs, with a need for cooperation and greater use of IT solutions to minimise such cost while meeting key public policy objectives. The non-tariff issues arising for ACP exporters within the process of the UK’s withdrawal from the EU, particularly under a ‘No-Deal’ Brexit scenario need to be fully addressed is substantial new costs are not to be generated for ACP agro-food exporters. Key areas where clear UK and EU policy commitments are needed include:  removing the need for customs checks where DFQF access is enjoyed to the EU and UK markets; allowing continued use of trade facilitating IT systems until alternatives are in place; continuing with phytosanitary checks in the EU for goods destined for the UK; -establishing mechanisms for a review of ‘UK-Only’ phytosanitary controls in Continuity Agreements concluded with the UK. Read more “Non-Tariff Costs For ACP Exporters Will Need to Be Addressed under a ‘No-Deal’ or ‘Hard’ Brexit”