Category: Topics

Covid-19 Pandemic Raises Questions Over the Brexit Effect on ACP Triangular Supply Chains

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Summary
The Covid-19 pandemic is highlighting the supply chain problems which can arise when border clearance arrangements come under stress from increased demands and reduced capacities. This is bringing into question the future commercial viability of existing ACP triangular supply chains for short shelf life products in serving the UK market. This needs to be seen in the light of the border clearance challenges and associated transportation disruptions which are likely to arise as a result of the UK governments’ current approach to future trade relations once it leaves the EU customs union and single market. Current policy responses to transportation disruptions associated with border clearance problems linked to the Covid-19 pandemic, could provide a basis for longer term arrangements to facilitate the continued smooth functioning of triangular supply chains. In the absence of such initiatives ACP exporters will need to explore opportunities for direct exports to the UK or diversification away from the UK market. Read more “Covid-19 Pandemic Raises Questions Over the Brexit Effect on ACP Triangular Supply Chains”

Size and Market Experience Affect the Impact of Corvid-19 Pandemic Disruptions on African Horticulture Exporters

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Summary
Smaller scale ACP fruit and vegetable exporters are being more severely impacted by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic than larger ACP fruit and vegetable exporters. This suggests smaller ACP exporters may well need financial assistance in surviving and bouncing back from the trade and economic consequences of the pandemic. There could potentially be a role for the EIB in providing bridging financing for smaller ACP fruit and vegetable exporters, provided mechanisms can be found for the early delivery of such support and reliable repayment. The EIB could usefully review its existing programmes to see which of these could provide a vehicle for the swift extension of support to the worst affected ACP fruit and vegetable exporting enterprises, which would otherwise be driven out of business by the export market disruptions they currently face. Read more “Size and Market Experience Affect the Impact of Corvid-19 Pandemic Disruptions on African Horticulture Exporters”

Dairy Price Recovery Likely to be Reversed by Covid-19 Pandemic

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Summary
Covid-19 pandemic related disruptions to EU and global dairy markets has led the European Milk Board (EMB) to call for the implementation of a production restricting Market Responsibility Programme, which it is argued should become a permanent feature of the EU diary sector policy tool kit. While the EC is likely to resist such call, favouring traditional intervention buying, ACP milk producers could usefully support the EMB proposal in order to avert future ‘dumping’ of low priced EU milk powder on ACP markets, to the detriment of local milk producers and national efforts to boost local milk production. Read more “Dairy Price Recovery Likely to be Reversed by Covid-19 Pandemic”

Collapse of European Cut Flower Demand Threatens Immediate Future of Kenyan Cut Flower Sector

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Summary
The Corvid-19 pandemic has caused economic disruptions which have crippled the Kenyan cut flower industry, which directly employs 200,000 people. Tens of thousands of workers are being sent home, with farms closing. Given the uncertainty over Kenya’s future duty free access to the UK market, many of these farms may not re-open, unless current uncertainties are urgently addressed.  With all East African Community meetings cancelled, this will require unilateral action from the UK government to reinstate the proposed Transitional Protection Mechanism put forward in October 2019 or the adoption of a similar such mechanism. Read more “Collapse of European Cut Flower Demand Threatens Immediate Future of Kenyan Cut Flower Sector”

What Challenges Does Kenya Face in Ensuring Continuity in its Current Access to the UK Market?

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Summary
With nearly 40% of Kenya’s direct exports to the UK currently benefitting from significant margins of tariff preferences, concerns have arisen around the UK’s current MFN tariff review and the future basis for Kenya’s continued duty-free access to the UK market after 1st January 2021. In addition, there are growing concerns about the future commercial viability of the use of triangular supply chains for the delivery of Kenyan short shelf life products to the UK market if no comprehensive EU/UK trade agreement is in place by 1st January 2021. Any future EU/UK trade agreement would need, as far as possible, to replicate the current frictionless trade, on which the operation of these triangular supply chains depends. This is looking increasingly unlikely. The Government of Kenya thus faces a triple challenge in ensuring a continuation of current patterns of exports to the UK market into 2021. Read more “What Challenges Does Kenya Face in Ensuring Continuity in its Current Access to the UK Market?”

Absence of Clear Region of Origin Labelling of Poultry Suggests a Need for Pre-emptive Import Restrictions as Spread of Highly Contagious AI Spreads Across Europe

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Summary
The spread of highly contagious avian influenza (AI) across Europe in the absence of clear place of origin labelling of the birds from which poultry meat exports are derived, would suggest a  need for the pre-emptive introduction of import restrictions where domestic ACP poultry production could be vulnerable to infection. If the EU wants to keep export markets open in the face of periodic outbreaks of high contagious AI within Europe, then mandatory labelling of the place of origin of the birds from which poultry meat exports are derived would appear to be essential. Read more “Absence of Clear Region of Origin Labelling of Poultry Suggests a Need for Pre-emptive Import Restrictions as Spread of Highly Contagious AI Spreads Across Europe”

The Link Between EU Agri Food Sector Protectionism and the Value of ACP Trade Preferences Highlighted

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Summary
The WTO has once again highlighted the EU’s extensive use of tariffs and non-tariff measures to manage EU agri-food markets. Preferred ACP exporters benefit from these protectionist EU trade policies, with any movement away from these policies potentially see mainly ACP/LDC exporters losing out to the tune of €1.6 billion.  The prospects of such losses are very real with regard to the UK market, where there is strong pressure under the current MFN tariff review to abandon MFN tariffs where the UK has no or only limited production interests to protect. Looking forward, within the EU, a long standing insistence on abolishing quantitative restrictions on imports from the EU under economic partnership agreements concluded with ACP countries, is being given new impetus with the creation a Chief Trade Enforcement Office, dedicated to making sure existing trade agreement commitments by 3rd countries are fully implemented. Such a course of action however sits uneasily with the EU’s own extensive use of quantitative restrictions in sensitive agri-food sectors. Read more “The Link Between EU Agri Food Sector Protectionism and the Value of ACP Trade Preferences Highlighted”

Debate on West African Dairy Sector Trade Policies Likely to Intensify in Coming Years

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Summary
Intra-regional dairy sector trade tensions are likely to intensify in West Africa in the coming years as the Government of Nigeria seeks to refine the use of its foreign exchange allocation system to support the development of local milk production, while Ghana and Cote d’Ivoire move ahead with tariff reductions on milk powders imports from the EU. The establishment of national platforms by EU dairy companies focused on regional markets, could see a growing formal and informal trade in reconstituted dairy products across West African borders, with a view to exploiting variations in the import tariffs levied on milk powders by different ECOWAS members. Read more “Debate on West African Dairy Sector Trade Policies Likely to Intensify in Coming Years”

EU Rice Consumption to Rise Slightly, But What Future Role ACP Suppliers?

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Summary
Despite the strong growth in EU rice consumption and imports in recent years, ACP rice exporters have not benefited from this trend, with EU rice import growth being accounted for by imports from Myanmar and Cambodia, both of which are LDCs. With EU rice consumption and imports stabilizing, the only prospect for increased EU imports of rice from Guyana and Suriname would appear to lie with an extension of existing human rights related sanctions, which have seen certain EBA tariff preferences withdrawn from Cambodia. This would require such measures to be extended both in terms of product scope and geographical coverage to encompass both rice and Myanmar respectively.  The EU currently has no plans to take any such action at the moment, with the response of the Government and Cambodia and Myanmar to ongoing enhanced dialogues on human rights being critical to the future evolution of the EU’s trade and human rights policy. Read more “EU Rice Consumption to Rise Slightly, But What Future Role ACP Suppliers?”

Will St Lucia Continue to Have an Export Trade Relationship with the UK once the UK Leaves the EU Customs and Single Market?

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Summary
With the UK’s current MFN tariff review posing the question: should the UK government remove all tariffs where the UK has ‘zero or limited production interest’,  the St Lucian banana sector could lose significant  margins of tariff preferences which could prove to be the final nail in the coffin of St Lucia’s banana exports to Europe. The UK is the only EU market served by St Lucian banana exports with bananas accounting for fully 83% of total exports to the UK. This could see only a marginal residual export trade relationship remaining from 2021. With the UK market taking more in exports from St. Lucia than all the other EU27 market combined, this would also profoundly undermine St Lucia’s export trade relationship with the EU. Given the basis the banana trade provides for ongoing efforts at agricultural export diversification, retaining in place existing UK MFN tariffs is essential to St Lucia’s continued trade relationship with the UK Read more “Will St Lucia Continue to Have an Export Trade Relationship with the UK once the UK Leaves the EU Customs and Single Market?”