Summary
This is the first in a series of articles which look at the implications of the EU’s new climate change focussed policy documents for ACP-EU agri-food sector trade relations. This article reviews the EU’s basic Farm to Fork strategy, which was first tabled in May 2020, and its implications for ACP-EU agri-food sector relations. A companion article will review the EU’s July 2021 Code of Conduct on Responsible Food Business and Marketing Practices, with both of these articles needing to be read in association with the recent epamonitoring.net article on Afruibana’s appeal to banana buyers in Europe to take on board the dramatic freight and input cost increases, so that all stakeholders in the supply chain carry a fair share of the burden of promoting the necessary ecological and energy transition which the climate crisis demands. Read more “EC’s “Fit for 55” Plan Roots in Earlier “Farm to Fork Strategy” Carries Implications for ACP-EU Agri-Food Sector Trade”
Category: EPA general
Growth Continues in EU27 Imports in Organic Products Where ACP Producers Have an Export Interest
Summary
ACP organic exporters have sustained strong growth in volumes to the EU market in 2020 despite a slight reduction in overall EU organic imports. In some organic product areas (rice and sugar) opportunities appear to exist which ACP producers have yet to exploit. Given the growing EU policy focus on the environmental sustainability of patterns of agri-food imports to the EU, exploring expansion into organic production in these areas could prove worthwhile. However, three headwinds are faced in continuing the expansion of ACP organic exports to the EU: the scheduled reforms to the EU’s organic product regime; the new trade administration complications for ACP organic exports to the UK, resulting from the UK’s departure from EU electronic systems for the management of imports of organic products; and the likely divergence of EU and UK organic certification requirements. Close attention will need to be paid to this issue by ACP organic exporters if existing growth in the volume of ACP organic exports to the Europe are to be sustained. Read more “Growth Continues in EU27 Imports in Organic Products Where ACP Producers Have an Export Interest”
Tariff Treatment and Logistical Cost Uncertainties Generated by Stalled EU/UK Trade Negotiations Raises Problems in ACP Supply Contract Negotiations for Exports to the UK Market in 2021
Summary
ACP supply contract negotiations for the delivery of products to the UK market along triangular supply chains are being complicated by the absence of an agreed framework for future EU/UK trade relations and the associated uncertainty around the level of new administrative and logistical costs the new border arrangements will generate. ACP exporters need to try to accommodate estimates of these increased costs into their tender offers for supply contracts currently under negotiation with UK supermarkets. If not, costly surprises could arise if supermarkets insist on current Delivered Duty Paid contract stipulations; which commonly involve all costs linked to the import process being carried by the foreign supplier. For direct ACP exports to the UK market, the prospect of a no-deal UK exit leading to a further revision of the UK’s MFN tariff regime, alongside uncertainty around the basis for the implementation of the UK’s new 260,000 tonne duty free quota for raw sugar imports, is overhanging contract negotiations for products such as bananas and sugar. Read more “Tariff Treatment and Logistical Cost Uncertainties Generated by Stalled EU/UK Trade Negotiations Raises Problems in ACP Supply Contract Negotiations for Exports to the UK Market in 2021”
Continued Lack of Progress Sees Mounting Levels of Frustration on the EU Side and Increased Prospects of a No-Deal UK Departure from the EU Customs Union and Single Market
Summary
EC negotiators are showing growing frustration at the lack of progress in EU/UK trade negotiations. The EU is looking for the UK to move beyond initial ‘red lines’, while the UK is looking for recognition of its sovereign right to determine its trade regulatory framework. Analysts suggest current positions risk lead to a ‘no-deal’ outcome by default. The urgency of ACP exporters assessing the real world implications of the UK’s departure from the EU customs union, with or without a deal, cannot be overstated. Similarly, the urgent need for ACP governments to launch a political initiative to ensure the implications for ACP exporters of the pending changes are acknowledged and addressed cannot be over stated. Read more “Continued Lack of Progress Sees Mounting Levels of Frustration on the EU Side and Increased Prospects of a No-Deal UK Departure from the EU Customs Union and Single Market”
Is the EC Preparing for Greater Enforcement of ACP Trade Agreement Commitments?
Summary
The commencement of operation of the EC’s new chief-trade-enforcement officer from 1st May 2020, places the EC’s revised negotiating directives on EPAs with ACP countries in a new light. While the emphasis on the removal of both tariff and non-tariff barriers to EU exports to ACP markets has been a long-standing feature of EU trade agreements (since 2008). Many of the provisions on the elimination of non-tariff barriers have not been effectively enforced to date. The fear is this could change from the second half of 2020, with this carrying important implications for the policy space African governments retain for the promotion of integrated national agri-food sector development. This needs to be seen in a context where growth in demand for agri-food products is increasingly concentrated in African not EU markets. Read more “Is the EC Preparing for Greater Enforcement of ACP Trade Agreement Commitments?”
Implications for ACP Agriculture of the New EC President’s Agenda
Summary
There are 3 main areas of concern for ACP agri-food sectors arising from the EC’s new priority programme. The appointment of a Chief Trade Enforcement Officer could lead to increased pressure on ACP governments to eliminate the use of non-tariff barriers on imports form the EU as agreed in most concluded EPAs. This needs to be seen in the context of the increasing interest of EU agri-food businesses in rapidly growing African markets, evolving global economic trends and trade conflicts elsewhere. New EC trade related sustainability commitments, depending on how they are interpreted and applied in practice could increase the costs of serving EU market, with the burden falling particularly heavily on small scale exporters and smallholder farmers across the ACP. Budgetisation of the EDF alongside Brexit related financial pressures and ongoing security and migration concerns on the EU’s southern border could see far less grant financed development assistance being extended to agriculture development in ACP countries, with loan based financial instruments being unlikely to meet the needs of smallholder producers or small and medium sized agri-food sector enterprises in ACP countries. Read more “Implications for ACP Agriculture of the New EC President’s Agenda”
EU FTA Implementation Report Highlights the Importance of Trade Agreements to EU Agro-Food Exports
Summary
The latest EC FTA implementation report highlighted the particular importance of such agreement to EU agro-food exporters. Attention is increasingly being focused on the removal of non-tariff barriers to EU exporters in the context of the full implementation of agreed tariff reduction commitments. While in 2018 exports to sub-Sahara Africa were an exception to the overall trend in the expansion of the value of EU agro-food exports, the decline in the value of exports to sub-Saharan Africa was less marked in countries where fully implemented FTAs were in place. A review of trends in EU exports of agro-food products where the implementation of an EU FTA had been completed (the EU-South Africa TDCA) revealed that in those products where the margins of tariff preferences generated by the agreement were significant a remarkable growth in the value of EU exports occurred between 2009 and 2016, with in most of these product areas this growth continuing through to 2018 despite South Africa’s economic difficulties (though be it at a slower rate). This illustrates the true value of EU trade agreements to the EU agro-food sector in trade relations with sub-Saharan Africa. Read more “EU FTA Implementation Report Highlights the Importance of Trade Agreements to EU Agro-Food Exports”
EU Urged to Continue to Use High Tariffs to Protect EU Egg Sector
Summary
A WUR report suggests the EU egg sector would face serious competitiveness challenges from imports without continued high levels of tariff protection. While this is justified on the basis of the high regulatory standards applied in the EU, even in the absence of higher EU regulatory standards major 3rd country egg exporters would still enjoy significant cost advantages. The contradiction between the EU’s continued use of a combination of high tariffs and quantitative restrictions on imports to regulate the EU egg market and the EU’s inclusion of provisions in trade agreements with ACP countries which seek to ban the use of quantitative restriction on imports from the EU needs to be recognised and addressed through continuing to flexibly interpret and enforce such commitments in trade with ACP countries. ACP governments need to be allowed to continue to use a range of trade policy tools in trade with the EU (including quantitative restrictions) where patterns of EU exports threaten national sector development strategies and aspirations. Read more “EU Urged to Continue to Use High Tariffs to Protect EU Egg Sector”
Implementation of EU-ACP Economic Partnership Agreements: The State of Play in 2017 in Perspective
Summary
While EPA negotiations commenced with all ACP countries in 2002 by the end of 2017 only 28 of 79 ACP governments had signed and ratified EPAs in place. Negotiations to complete regional EPAs in the EAC and West Africa remain stalled by the reluctance of key governments to accede to a regional EPA, with this generating tension within regional integration initiatives. While tariff reduction and elimination commitments vary across agreements in terms of scope and the timetables for implementation, provisions restricting the utilisation of non-tariff trade policy tools are common to all agreement and are likely to have the same effects if rigorously interpreted and applied, despite variations in wording. EU agro-food exporters see the application of non-tariff measures as more important than tariffs in holding back further expansion of EU exports. This is likely to become a growing area of contention in EU-ACP trade relations, since to date the EC has ‘soft peddled’ on this issue in an efforts to complete regional EPA negotiation processes in Africa. Meanwhile the value of ACP preferential access for agro-food exports is being undermined by new EU trade FTA agreement. These effects are likely to further compounded by the Brexit process. ACP efforts to place their structural economic development objectives at the heart of the future ACP-EU Partnership Agreement are being resisted by the EC, with this reflecting and underlying tension between EU agro-food sector export interests and ACP structural development objective sin the agro-food sector. Read more “Implementation of EU-ACP Economic Partnership Agreements: The State of Play in 2017 in Perspective”
The EC’s Recommendations for the Post-Cotonou Negotiations: Some Implications for ACP Agro-food Sectors
Summary
The EC communication on the Post Cotonou ACP-EU negotiations has bene described as ‘a confusing mixture of liberalisation and positive policy recommendations’. There are some areas which could be built on for the benefit of ACP agricultural producers and exporters, but there are also areas which could narrow the options which ACP governments have for supporting integrated agro-food sector development. The growing EU member states focus on ensuring EU interests are more effectively promoted through the future ACP-EU partnership, alongside a growing focus on migration and security areas as well as the promoting the economic interests of EU companies in ACP markets is unlikely to lead to any substantive changes which enhance the contribution of the EU-ACP partnership to the integrated development of ACP agro-food sectors. However this remains a terrain of political struggle with a key question being: how effectively prepared are ACP structures and institutions for engaging in the political struggle which lies ahead in the post-Cotonou ACP-EU partnership negotiations. Read more “The EC’s Recommendations for the Post-Cotonou Negotiations: Some Implications for ACP Agro-food Sectors”