Category: Poultry

Given rising food demand the poultry sector offers considerable cope for rural transformation. This arises primarily not through the formal wage employment generated on poultry farms and in poultry processing facilities but through the development of local poultry feed supply chains. However these opportunities for transformation are being undermined by growing exports of residual, low cut poultry parts to mainly African ACP markets. The EU plays a major and expanding role in this trade, with the preferential treatment negotiated for EU exporters under reciprocal trade agreements with African countries playing a major role in the expansion of EU poultry meat exports. The EU’s restrictive poultry import regime also plays a major role in promoting EU poultry meat exports. This raises important issues of policy coherence for the EU.

Consideration should be given to the promotion of the responsibly interpretation and application of the commitments entered into by ACP governments with regard to the use of non-tariff trade policy measures and the establishment of a ‘Code of Conduct for Responsible Trade in Poultry Parts’, aimed at addressing both the adverse developmental and health effects of the current EU trade in poultry parts.
Read more.

An Alternative View on EU-West Africa Poultry Sector Trade: A Review of the European Commission’s West Africa-EU Poultry Sector Briefing

epamonitoring

 

Summary
This article has a different structure to the normal epamonitoring.net articles, with it being structured as commentary on recent EU information materials supplied in the context of discussions over the coherence of EU poultry sector trade policy in West Africa. This paper was released as background to planned discussions on the EU’s poultry sector trade relationship with West African countries, the European Commission circulated an information note setting put the EC perspective on this trade. It sought to:

  • Assert how EU poultry production growth was demand driven, but largely neglected the impact which the EU’s tightly regulated poultry meat import regime on investment and production decisions in the EU poultry sector.
  • Set out the phenomenal increase in effective consumer demand for low-cost protein which was underway prior to the Covid-19 pandemic, a development which is incontestable.
  • Explore the structure of poultry meat production and demand in West Africa and the constraints on competitive production faced, which undoubtedly exist.
  • Sought to explore the issue of the right balance required between domestic production and imports, given evolving West African demand.
  • Argue the EU provides no subsidies to EU poultry production and trade.
  • Outline the scale of EU development assistance to agricultural development in West Africa.
  • Briefly explore the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and the EU’s health focussed ‘farm to fork’ strategy.

The following paper seeks to critically reflect on the arguments set out by the European Commission in this paper, with a particular focus on the impact of the EU’s trade policy in regard to EU imports of poultry meat and the sharp contrast this provides with the EU’s evolving approach to the use of trade policy tools by African governments in the poultry sector. Read more “An Alternative View on EU-West Africa Poultry Sector Trade: A Review of the European Commission’s West Africa-EU Poultry Sector Briefing”

South Africa Poultry Producers Seek Further Anti-Dumping Duties

epamonitoring

Summary
The South African Poultry Association has applied for anti-dumping duties on imported chicken from five countries, Brazil, Denmark, Ireland, Poland, and Spain. The four EU member states accounted for around 95% of total EU frozen chicken and offal exports to South Africa in 2019-20. The hard reality facing South African poultry producers is that since 2012 the average price paid for imports of these products from the EU has fallen 24%, while prior to the introduction of Avian Influenza based phytosanitary restrictions in December 2016, import volumes more than doubled. Given the challenges posed by the under-reporting of the value of imports, false classification of imports and fraudulent declarations other policy measures such as minimum import price requirements may need to be considered. Additional measures may also be required on public health ground to improve handling practices and traceability in cases of food poisoning outbreaks. Read more “South Africa Poultry Producers Seek Further Anti-Dumping Duties”

EU Poultry Meat Exports to Sub Saharan Africa Prove Resilient Despite Overall Decline in EU Poultry Meat Exports and South Africa Trade Policy Initiatives

epamonitoring

Summary
Despite a decline in overall EU poultry meat exports in 2020, exports to Ghana and the DRC two major export destinations increased. While exports to sub-Saharan Africa as a whole fell, due to the application of import control measures by the South African government, excluding trade with South Africa, EU poultry meat exports to sub-Saharan Africa grew overall. Looking at longer term trends to non-South African sub-Saharan African markets EU export volumes increased 70% between 2012 and 2020 while the average price of such imports fell 26.4%.  In the sub-category of frozen chicken meat, the average price of imports from the EU fell 29% while volumes almost doubled. While the EC consistently argues the EU does not ‘dump’ poultry meat on sub-Saharan African market, the undeniable reality is that since 2012 average unit prices of EU poultry meat exports have fallen. Despite this reality, the EC continues to pursue a nominal policy which restricts the ability of governments, in African countries which are major recipients of EU poultry meat exports, to make use of the kind of quantitative controls on imports routinely used by the EU in its trade with major poultry meat exporters. Read more “EU Poultry Meat Exports to Sub Saharan Africa Prove Resilient Despite Overall Decline in EU Poultry Meat Exports and South Africa Trade Policy Initiatives”

Future Caribbean Trade Relations with the UK: Summary of Areas of Concern

epamonitoring

Summary
The new EU/UK rules of origin requirements for the cross-border movement of goods could prove disruptive of certain Caribbean rum, horticulture, sugar and potentially rice supply chains. At the business level this will require a rethinking of routes to markets. At the policy level it will require a sustained engagement to secure a right of automatic cumulation for all Caribbean products enjoying duty-free/quota-free access to both the EU and UK markets, when traded across an EU/UK border.  Only such a policy innovation would remove the rules of origin complications which threatened to make commercially non-viable the current Caribbean exports which are routed via the EU to the UK market or via the UK to EU markets. Read more “Future Caribbean Trade Relations with the UK: Summary of Areas of Concern”

Non-Tariff Issues Threaten to Undermine UK Meat Exports to EU27 Markets and Generate Displace of UK Exports to ACP Markets

epamonitoring

Summary
The shortage of UK veterinarians required to sign off on Export Health Certificates could seriously constrain UK exports of livestock products destined for the EU market. While Export Health Certification issues should impact on exports to all destinations, if the UK government adopts the BMPA proposals to use supervised Certification Support Officers instead of fully qualified veterinarians to sign off on Export Heath Certificates this could facilitate exports of UK livestock products.  However, the EU is unlikely to accept such a downgrading of export health certification controls, without a thorough assessment of the phytosanitary and food safety implications. This could create a situation where in 2021 the new supervised Certification Support Officers were able to sign off on exports to non-EU destinations but not exports to the EU. This would lay the basis for an expansion of displaced UK livestock product exports to ACP markets rather than the EU markets currently served. In the poultry sector, this needs to be seen in a context where over half of all UK extra-EU poultry meat exports were destined for ACP market in 2019. Read more “Non-Tariff Issues Threaten to Undermine UK Meat Exports to EU27 Markets and Generate Displace of UK Exports to ACP Markets”

Growth in EU27 Poultry Meat Exports Projected on the Basis of Continued EU/UK Duty Free Trade

epamonitoring

Summary
While the rate of growth in EU poultry meat exports is slowing down, the EC projects a continued expansion of EU exports up to 2030 on the back of a continued expansion of EU poultry production. While the December 2020 EU/UK trade deal will avert the imposition of standard MFN tariffs on EU/UK mutual trade in poultry products, the introduction of standard 3rd country import control requirements will generate some trade disruption.  This will largely affect UK poultry meat exports to the EU27. The trade in value added food products containing poultry meat is also likely to be complicated by new rules of origin requirements for EU/UK trade, given no agreement has been reached on ‘diagonal cumulation’ arrangements. These issues are likely to lead to some level of trade displacement of mutual EU/UK trade in poultry products to 3rd country markets. This is most likely to result in increased UK exports of poultry parts to non-EU27 markets. Read more “Growth in EU27 Poultry Meat Exports Projected on the Basis of Continued EU/UK Duty Free Trade”

UK Kenya Agreement Leaves Triangular Supply Chain Issues Unresolved but Suggests Progress on Rules of Origin Issues Could be Possible

epamonitoring

 

Summary
A Kenya-UK trade agreement has been concluded which preserves duty free access for Kenyan exports to the UK market beyond 31st December 2020. However, this agreement fails to avoid potential disruptions of all current supply routes for tariff free access to the UK market.  This is a result of the failure to address future trade issues along triangular supply chains, which serve the UK market via initial landing in the EU. This issue is of considerable importance to the East African region, given the current routes used in serving the UK market in major export sectors (e.g. cut flowers). In the context of a no-deal UK departure, issues will also arise for other major ACP triangular supply chains where some repackaging or simple processing takes place in the EU prior to onward shipment to the UK. These triangular supply chain issues need to be urgently addressed. While the relaxation of UK phytosanitary controls could facilitate an expansion of Kenyan exports to the UK, this is highly unlikely in the livestock sector. Rules of origin improvements could prove relevant in other ACP-UK EPA contexts and should be studied closely. Finally, the 7-year moratorium on tariff reductions defers any immediate conflicts between the implementation of the UK-Kenya agreement and the maintenance of a common external tariff for the East African Customs Union Read more “UK Kenya Agreement Leaves Triangular Supply Chain Issues Unresolved but Suggests Progress on Rules of Origin Issues Could be Possible”

Appointment of Chief Trade Enforcement Officer Could Signal a Push More Rigorous Enforcement of EPA Commitments Made by ACP Governments

epamonitoring

Summary
The appointment of an EU Chief Trade Enforcement Officer is likely to see the EU more rigorously enforce the commitments entered onto by ACP governments under EPAs. Particular concerns arise in regard to the interpretation and application of provision dealing with trade defence mechanisms established under the EPAs (safeguard and anti-dumping provisions), the ‘Prohibition of quantitative restrictions’, and ‘National treatment’. The rigorous interpretation and enforcement of these commitments could undermine national agri-food sector development strategies across a wide range of ACP countries.  There are concerns disputes with ACP countries constitute areas for ‘early wins’ for the CTEO, given the limited legal capacity of ACP governments to engage in dispute settlement processes and the limited scope for ACP retaliatory action. Particular concerns arise in product areas where a no-deal Brexit could generate severe EU/UK trade disruptions (e.g. the poultry meat sector) and ACP markets are major outlets for EU exports. Read more “Appointment of Chief Trade Enforcement Officer Could Signal a Push More Rigorous Enforcement of EPA Commitments Made by ACP Governments”

South Africa’s Poultry Sector on the Road to Recovery as Stricter Trade Regime Applied

epamonitoring

 

Summary
According to analysis from the United States Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service, the South African poultry meat sector is recovering following a post drought recovery of maize crops which has lowered feed costs, agreement on a Poultry Sector Master Plan and the application of new trade policy measures designed to provide relief from low cost poultry imports. However, there is a hole in South Africa’s poultry sector trade policy arising from the de facto effect of EU-South Africa trade agreements. These exclude EU exporters form general tariff changes and profoundly undermine the effectiveness of the anti-dumping and safeguard measures nominally allowed under these agreements. This situation is compounded by legal loop-hole challenges from the EC of South African safeguard measures, which if upheld would seriously undermine the development dimension of EU trade agreements with sub-Saharan African trade partners. Read more “South Africa’s Poultry Sector on the Road to Recovery as Stricter Trade Regime Applied”

EU27 Poultry Sector Surprisingly Resilient in Face of Covid-19 Challenges, But Brexit Challenges Could See Expanded Export Drive to ACP Markets

epamonitoring

Summary
The EU poultry meat sector has proved surprisingly resilient to Covid-19 trade and market disruptions. While both EU imports and exports have fallen, exports of poultry meat to the main sub-Saharan African markets have risen dramatically.  This role of sub-Saharan African markets as “markets of last resort” raises concerns about the impact of a ‘no-deal’ or ‘Thin FTA’ outcome to the Brexit process on international trade in poultry meat given the scale of current mutual EU/UK trade (1.2 million tonnes per annum). There are fears ACP markets could be targeted should this EU/UK trade be disrupted. This could then disrupt established or emerging African poultry sectors. ACP governments will need to prepare for these likely export surges, in a context where the EU’s new Chief Trade Enforcement Officer will be increasingly seeking to remove current trade restrictions on EU poultry meat exports, where these violate trade agreement commitments. Greater transparency in trade statistics on EU poultry exports to developing country markets could facilitate operationalising EU policy coherence for development commitments, particularly if a ‘window’ were opened through which the concerns of local ACP poultry producers could be made known. Read more “EU27 Poultry Sector Surprisingly Resilient in Face of Covid-19 Challenges, But Brexit Challenges Could See Expanded Export Drive to ACP Markets”