BREXIT and the ACP What Can Be Done?

Summary

The UK needs to recognise its ‘inherited’ trade obligations to ACP/LDC countries and take regulatory measures to extend unilaterally current market access arrangements from day 1 of BREXIT. This should be seen as ‘transitional’, with the re-fitting of existing EPAs into bilateral trade arrangements taking place once the UK administration is in a position to undertake such an exercise. This agreement should both improve access for ACP countries to the UK market and address preference erosion concerns. Read more “BREXIT and the ACP What Can Be Done?”

Arla’s Senegalese milk powder repackaging plant begins operations

Summary

The opening of Arla’s repackaging plant in Senegal is expanding the companies milk powder exports to West Africa.  Arla already enjoys expanding sales of UHT milk and is planning to export branded butter and cheese to Senegal. There are concerns this could undermine the development of local milk supply chains, in contrast to Arla’s commitments to avoiding harm to local farmers. Arla’s commitment to developing milk supplies in Nigeria needs to be extended to Senegal, in the context of an initiative to launch a locally applicable Code of Conduct for Responsible Corporate Trade and Investment in African Dairy Sector Development. Read more “Arla’s Senegalese milk powder repackaging plant begins operations”

EU poultry meat exports to Africa continue to grow

Summary

EU poultry exports to sub-Saharan Africa continue to grow, despite setbacks on trade into West Africa linked to the oil price collapse. Given the continuous growth in EU poultry meat exports to sub-Saharan Africa in recent years, it is apparent that the scope for local poultry sector development will be strongly linked to the future use of non-tariff trade policy measures.  The use of these, which could well be brought into question under the newly concluded economic partnership agreements. Read more “EU poultry meat exports to Africa continue to grow”

EU frozen poultry meat exports to South Africa begin to bite

Summary

The continued growth in EU poultry meat imports into South Africa in 2016 will exceed projected increases in imports from the US. This is accelerating job losses in the poultry sector. Commitments entered into under the trade agreement with the EU have prevented the South African government from reigning in imports form the EU.  This highlights the potential threat EPAs pose to African efforts to promoted integrated poultry sector development. Read more “EU frozen poultry meat exports to South Africa begin to bite”

The Impact of Trade Agreements on EU Agro-Food Exports to South Africa: Beyond Modelling

 

Summary

An EC modelling analysis show SADC EPA signatories benefit from the EPA only in comparison with a worst case scenario of the loss of all pre-existing trade preferences. A review of the evolution of EU-South Africa agro-food trade since 2002, shows the value of EU exports tripling while the value of South African exports grew only 38%. The highest rates of growth in EU exports occurred where tariff preferences over 3rd country suppliers were most significant. Read more “The Impact of Trade Agreements on EU Agro-Food Exports to South Africa: Beyond Modelling”

UK Private Sector Concerned Over Trade Disruption under BREXIT

Summary

The UK Fresh Produce Consortium and British Retail Consortium have both independently highlighted the importance to UK consumers of ensuring continuity in access to the UK market for third country supplier post-BREXIT.  These UK bodies are potentially value able allies for the ACP in protecting their export interests. Meanwhile countries like Peru are actively seeking new bilateral trade arrangements with the UK. Read more “UK Private Sector Concerned Over Trade Disruption under BREXIT”

Ecuador agreement highlights trade tools used by EU in sensitive sectors

Summary:

The debate on the ‘stabilisation mechanism’ in trade with Ecuador, is illustrative of the EU’s use of special trade mechanism to defend EU agricultural interests (e.g. EU banana producers). This type of mechanism could be useful for ACP governments under EPAs in sectors where EU agricultural and trade policies distort competition to the benefit of EU exporters (e.g. in the dairy and poultry sectors). Read more “Ecuador agreement highlights trade tools used by EU in sensitive sectors”

What Value Future Preferential Access to the UK Market

Summary:

While the immediate concern is to preserve current ACP preferences, in the longer term serious preference erosion challenges will be faced. Where the UK has no agricultural production interests (e.g. bananas and citrus) there will be little incentive to maintain EU tariffs. However for  five years tariff preferences may remain given the complexity of some trade negotiations. The UK’s future agricultural policy will also affect ACP preferences, notably: whether the UK retains EU CAP-related special agricultural levies. Read more “What Value Future Preferential Access to the UK Market”

What BREXIT Means for the UK-ACP Trading Relationship?

Summary

The duty free access enjoyed for exports to and imports from the UK under the various EPAs will lapse once the UK leaves the EU. The countries most dependent on the UK market it is vital current market access arrangements are not disrupted. More generally sectors dominated by smallholder producers exporting undifferentiated bulk commodities on the basis of traditional high levels of tariff preferences are likely to be most severely affected by a loss of preferential access to the UK market. Initiatives are urgently needed to ensure a continuation of current preferential access to the UK market. Longer term issues of preference erosion on the UK market will also need to be addressed. Read more “What BREXIT Means for the UK-ACP Trading Relationship?”

What drives EU poultry meat exports to sub-Saharan Africa?

Summary

The structure of EU demand and the EU’s tightly ‘managed’ poultry sector trade regime are major factors driving EU exports of frozen poultry parts to Africa. Important ‘pull’ factors include growing African demand for low cost protein and the poultry sector trade policies pursued by African governments. EPA commitments could bring into question the current use of trade policy tools in support of local poultry sector development in Africa. Read more “What drives EU poultry meat exports to sub-Saharan Africa?”