Summary
The EC has been far more modest in its market interventions in the agricultural sector in response to the Covid-19 crisis than to previous crisis situations. In many respects the EC is seeking to work with current trends, such as increased private sector stock holdings, with its measures being less likely to result it stock levels which will overhang global markets and depress future global prices to the detriment of ACP producers. However, a close eye will need to be kept on the impact of EU market intervention measures on trade flows in sensitive products to regions where this could exacerbate regional trade tensions. Of more general interest, the EC’s decision to re-deploy financing for longer term activities to short term emergency measures, offers a precedent which could usefully be applied to existing EDF financed cooperation activities in ACP countries, with the aim of assisting hard pressed ACP governments in responding to both the health and wider economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. However, this will hinge around an EC policy commitment to use future post-Cotonou financing instruments to reconstitute the budgets from which emergency funding has been re-deployed. Read more “EC Covid-19 Linked Agri food Sector Support Measures Extended”
Category: Eastern African
Dutch Flower Auctions Gearing up for the End of the Lock Down Across Europe
Summary
Lock-down and social distancing measures collapsed demand for cut flowers in the EU. This saw a virtual closure of the Dutch flower auctions, with operations only now beginning to recover. However, demand is likely to remain depressed for a considerable time. Any relaxation of emergency supply management measures introduced by the EU cut flower industry is likely to see already depressed prices fall further. Should freight constraints on East Africa cut flower exports begin to be addressed while social distancing restrictions remain in force this could exert further downward pressure on prices. In the longer term a serious rethink of freight strategies and market orientation may be required in the East African cut flower sector. Read more “Dutch Flower Auctions Gearing up for the End of the Lock Down Across Europe”
Growing Calls for an Extension of the EU-UK Transitional Period in the face of COVID-19 Economic Disruptions
Summary
The UK freight industry and British Chambers of Commerce have explicitly called for an extension of the transition period in E/UK relations, while the UK food and drinks industry has called for concerted action to avoid further trade disruptions which would compound the adverse economic effects of the Covids-19 pandemic. UK private sector bodies maintain neither business not the UK border services are prepared to implement customs and other border controls on trade with the EU from the 1st January 2021, given the disruptions to preparations which the Covid-19 pandemic has generated. While these difficulties are recognised and there is a dawning awareness in the UK government of the need to avoid a no-deal exit from the EU customs union, it appears no one in the UK government knows how politically to avoid this outcome. Against this background ACP businesses will need to start making preparation for a no-deal UK departure from the EU customs union and single market on 1st January 2021. Read more “Growing Calls for an Extension of the EU-UK Transitional Period in the face of COVID-19 Economic Disruptions”
Linking Bail Outs to Broader Policy Objectives
Summary
With both European airlines and cross channel ferry companies seeking multi-billion Euro government financed assistance programmes in the face of COVID-19 related disruptions of passenger services, the debate is underway on the need to link such public financing to wider policy objectives (e.g. GHG emission reduction targets). In this context there is also a need to link such public assistance to other broader objectives such as a restoration of freight charges for essential goods to pre-COVID-19 levels and the maintenance of freight handling capacity at pre-COVID-19 levels. This would assist in restoring existing ACP-EU supply chains for fresh fruit and vegetable imports, in the face of the severe disruptions the COVID-19 pandemic has given rise to. This would aid economic recovery in those African and Caribbean countries whose export orientated horticultural sectors have been severely disrupted by the pandemic. It would in addition help secure fresh fruit and vegetable supplies to meet the surging consumer demand for healthy eating options in those European countries with a high import dependence for fresh fruit and vegetable supplies. Read more “Linking Bail Outs to Broader Policy Objectives”
Growing Covid19 Related Concerns Over Fresh Food Supply Chains Could Carry Longer Term Implications
Summary
Covid-19 linked air freight, sea freight, road freight and port disruptions are placing strains on fruit and vegetable supply chains serving the UK and EU markets. Movement restrictions are leading to labour shortages which threaten future domestic European fruit and vegetable production. This is likely to push up prices throughout 2020, with this continuing well into 2021 for the UK, if the UK governments chooses at the end of 2020 to leave the EU customs union without a trade deal being in place. This is seeing a growing focus on shortening supply chains, with this likely to make itself felt first through the revision of supermarket sourcing practices. ACP governments should look to supporting policy responses to the Covid-19 trade disruptions across Europe which also address longer term issues in relations with the UK, including deferring the UK’s departure from the EU customs union to allow trade to recover from the devastation of in the post Covid-19 pandemic. ACP private sector exporters meanwhile should examine how they can cost effectively shorten their supply chains to reduce their vulnerability to future transportation disruptions, in a context where the transport sector knock-on effects of recent developments are likely to be felt for some years to come. Read more “Growing Covid19 Related Concerns Over Fresh Food Supply Chains Could Carry Longer Term Implications”
Variable Application of Citrus Sector Phytosanitary Import Controls Highlights Practical Challenges of Regulatory Alignment in Future UK/EU Relations
Summary
The huge discrepancy in Citrus Black Spot interception rates between Spanish, Dutch and UK border control authorities raises questions as to the commonality of current control measures implemented by EU member states. It also raises questions as to the extent and nature of future regulatory alignment requirements once the UK leaves the EU customs union and single market. This is an important issue for ACP exporters who use triangular supply chains in delivering short shelf life, fruit, vegetables and cut flowers to the UK market. Minimising SPS controls at EU/UK borders will be critical to the future commercial viability of these routes to UK markets. Current Covid-19 flexibilities and innovations in the exercise of official controls could hold some important lessons for future EU/UK SPS border controls, particularly if the policy focus was on the practical outcomes in terms of the phytosanitary protection of domestic agricultural production, rather then the modalities for the application of controls. Read more “Variable Application of Citrus Sector Phytosanitary Import Controls Highlights Practical Challenges of Regulatory Alignment in Future UK/EU Relations”
More Evidence Sugar Levies Work in Stimulating Product Reformulation
Summary
Daily per capita sugar consumption in soft drinks in the UK has declined by 30% between 2015 and 2018, in part in response to the Soft Drinks Industry Levy. This decline could see similar such measures introduced for other high sugar content food products. Some 73% of the decline was driven by industry reformulation efforts and 27% by changing consumer purchasing patterns. An important underlying driving force however is the trend towards healthier eating, which is largely immune to short term price falls (as induced by the economic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic). This will accelerate the trends towards reduced Eu sugar consumption which is already underway. If ACP sugar exporters remain focussed on the EU market, they will need to target increasingly differentiated member states sugar markets, since considerable price premiums exist on in certain national EU sugar markets (region 3 countries). Read more “More Evidence Sugar Levies Work in Stimulating Product Reformulation”
New EU MRLs Highlight the Difficulties in Securing International Consensus on SPS Issues, Despite EU’s Dominant Role in Setting Regulatory Standards
Summary
The EU continues to set and re-set pesticide and fungicide Maximum Residue Level (MRLs) at far stricter levels than internationally agreed standards. ACP exporters serving EU markets have no option but to comply or exit the EU market. Freshfel’s call for ‘better defined international standards’ to facilitate EU fruit and vegetable exports, since uneasily with the unilateral standard setting practiced by the EU, which regularly presents new compliance challenges for ACP fruit and vegetable exporters. This raises important policy issues regarding the EU’s role in the de facto setting of international standards and the limitations of SPS chapters and institutional mechanisms established under trade ACP-EU FTAs for ensuring EU markets remain open to ACP products which comply with agreed international regulatory standards. Read more “New EU MRLs Highlight the Difficulties in Securing International Consensus on SPS Issues, Despite EU’s Dominant Role in Setting Regulatory Standards”
Covid-19 Related Cancellation of Commercial Flights Beginning to Bite for ACP Horticulture Exports
Summary
The current Covid-19 disruptions of Kenyan exports to Europe, particularly along triangular supply chains to the UK, highlights the importance of shortening supply chains by wherever possible, contracting with the final retailer and shipping products directly. For exporters who can get to grip with current logistical challenges, rising EU demand for fruit and vegetables and rising prices could yield commercial benefits to counter-balance some of the Covid-19 disruptions. This is particularly the case since labour shortages in the fruit and vegetable sector as a result of disruptions to migrant labour flows could depress European fruit and vegetable production throughout 2020. Read more “Covid-19 Related Cancellation of Commercial Flights Beginning to Bite for ACP Horticulture Exports”
Covid-19 Pandemic Raises Questions Over the Brexit Effect on ACP Triangular Supply Chains
Summary
The Covid-19 pandemic is highlighting the supply chain problems which can arise when border clearance arrangements come under stress from increased demands and reduced capacities. This is bringing into question the future commercial viability of existing ACP triangular supply chains for short shelf life products in serving the UK market. This needs to be seen in the light of the border clearance challenges and associated transportation disruptions which are likely to arise as a result of the UK governments’ current approach to future trade relations once it leaves the EU customs union and single market. Current policy responses to transportation disruptions associated with border clearance problems linked to the Covid-19 pandemic, could provide a basis for longer term arrangements to facilitate the continued smooth functioning of triangular supply chains. In the absence of such initiatives ACP exporters will need to explore opportunities for direct exports to the UK or diversification away from the UK market. Read more “Covid-19 Pandemic Raises Questions Over the Brexit Effect on ACP Triangular Supply Chains”