EU Council authorises launch of Negotiations on apportionment of WTO TRQs

Summary
The EC proposal for a mandate to negotiate the apportionment of WTO agreed TRQs has been approved by the EU Council. The EC’s approach is based on the October 2017 joint UK/EU letter to WTO members. This approach has already been rejected as unacceptable by leading WTO members. The annex to the EC proposal provides TRQ by TRQ details of how much access to the EU27 market would be reduced post Brexit.  This nominally includes a reduction in ACP TRQ access for sugar exports: an arrangement which has been superseded by the granting of full duty free-quota free access under the EU’s EBA scheme and various EPAs. This suggests there may be some shortcomings in the EC’s preparatory work for the launch of these TRQ negotiations with WTO members. This could lead to a lengthy process of negotiations. However the EU Council has reserved the right to unilaterally apportion existing TRQs if no specific agreements can be reached with WTO members by the date of the UK’s full departure from the EU. Read more “EU Council authorises launch of Negotiations on apportionment of WTO TRQs”

Sugar Reduction Target Missed But Pipeline of Pending Initiatives Encouraging

Summary
The failure of the UK food industry to meet the voluntary 5% sugar reduction target established in 2016 is leading to increased calls for mandatory action, given the effectiveness of the Soft Drinks Industry Levy (SDIL) in stimulating reformulation efforts which resulted in an 11% reduction in sugar usage. Despite the failure to meet the ambitious first year target efforts to reduce sugar usage in food and drink products appears to on track, with this being likely to carry implications for ACP sugar exporters.

For low cost ACP sugar exporters analysing in detail the trends in sugar usage in the UK food and drink sector set out in the PHE report could assist in formulating strategies to reduce their vulnerability to the long term trend towards reduced sugar usage in food and drink products. Unfortunately for higher cost ACP sugar exporters the longer term trend in UK sugar consumption is likely to be just another nail in the coffin of their traditional sugar exports. Read more “Sugar Reduction Target Missed But Pipeline of Pending Initiatives Encouraging”

Problems of Re-consolidating UK Access under EU 3rd Country FTA Could Threaten UK Agriculture

Summary
A cross party group of UK MEPs representing agricultural constituencies have requested a detailed explanation from the UK International Trade Secretary Liam Fox on how the UK government will secure continued preferential access to 3rd country markets covered by EU trade agreements, once the UK is no longer part of the EU (from 30th  March 2019). The current text of the EU27/UK Withdrawal Agreement is ambiguous on this issue, with serious WTO complications arising for 3rd country signatories of EU FTAs if they were to simply ‘roll-over’ UK preferential access once the UK was no longer part of the EU. Read more “Problems of Re-consolidating UK Access under EU 3rd Country FTA Could Threaten UK Agriculture”

EU Sugar Quota Abolition Begins to Eat at ACP/LDC Export Volumes and Earnings

Summary
The reduction of EU sugar imports forecast to occur following the abolition of EU sugar production quotas is well underway, with exports to the sugar deficit UK market from traditional ACP sugar suppliers coming under particular pressure. Given the proposed 21 month transition period in EU27/UK trade relations this is likely to continue until at least 1st January 2021 and may extend beyond, depending on the nature of the long term post-Brexit EU27/UK trade arrangement set in place.

EU sugar exports are also growing faster than projected, with this reportedly contributing to the decline in world market sugar prices which has been underway. In the longer term growing EU export volumes could threaten production in less competitive sugar producing countries including in Africa (particularly West Africa and high cost Eastern African sugar producing countries). Against this background sugar sector trade policy could become a contested area in EU-Africa relations. Read more “EU Sugar Quota Abolition Begins to Eat at ACP/LDC Export Volumes and Earnings”

Parliament Committee Warns of Disastrous Consequences for the UK food and Drink Industry of a ‘No Deal’ Brexit

Summary
The BEIS Committee has come out heavily in favour of maintaining as ‘frictionless’ access to the EU27 market as possible in order to protect the interests of UK processed food and drink exporters. The BEIS Committee further noted the lowering of tariffs on imports could be extremely damaging for UK farming, while bringing only marginal consumer price benefits. The importance of replicating all existing and pending EU trade deals to the UK processed food and drink sector was highlighted if growth in exports to non-EU markets is to be promoted. Amongst ACP countries particularly importance was attached to replicating the EU trade agreement with South Africa. In terms of resolving any potential conflict between maintaining access to EU27 markets and concluding new trade agreements the Committee implicitly came down in favour of concluding a comprehensive FTA with the EU27. While future close alignment of UK and EU27 agro-food sector tariffs could avert the threat of preference erosion on UK markets for products like bananas, rice, citrus fruit and other Mediterranean products, it would not assist in addressing the deteriorating position of the less efficient ACP sugar exporters on the UK market, which is linked to growing EU27 sugar exports to the sugar deficit UK market. Read more “Parliament Committee Warns of Disastrous Consequences for the UK food and Drink Industry of a ‘No Deal’ Brexit”

EC Proposes New UTP Regulations Should Cover Sourcing from Developing Country Suppliers

Summary
EC proposals to eliminate unfair trading practices along agricultural supply chains are to apply to both EU and non-EU suppliers. This is a welcome development from an ACP perspective given the regularity of UTPs along ACP-EU supply chains for fruit and vegetable products. However the benefits gained by ACP agricultural producers will be critically affected by how the regulation is implemented in practice.  It is now up to ACP governments in the countries most affected by UTPs such as Kenya, Tanzania, Ethiopia and Ghana in Africa and the Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Belize and St Lucia in the Caribbean, to ensure a designated authority is created which is empowered to ‘initiate investigations either on its own initiative or based on a complaint’ into unfair trading practices along ACP-EU supply chains. This issue could usefully be taken up under the trade chapter of the post-Cotonou ACP-EU negotiations which will be launched in August 2018. Read more “EC Proposes New UTP Regulations Should Cover Sourcing from Developing Country Suppliers”

March 2018 AU Position on Future Negotiations with EU Sparks Controversy

Summary

The recently adopted African Union (AU) Executive Council decision to recommend the new agreement with the EU ‘should be separated from the ACP context’ is in contradictions to established common ACP positions, which in line with the recent CARIFORUM statement had emphasises the importance of building on the acquis by negotiating with the EU at the all-ACP level. By abandoning substantive negotiations at the pan-ACP level (the only level at which the EC is obliged to conclude an agreement by March 2020) the AU position risks weakening the position of regional negotiators on issues where there are tensions in the ACP-EU relationship. This includes a range of agro-food sector trade issue which in the context of evolving trends could come to take on growing significance fort African, Caribbean and Pacific countries, most notably in regard to the wider policy framework within which the EU seeks the implementation of EPA commitments.  This could carry particularly important implications for African structural economic transformation objectives in the agro-food sector. Read more “March 2018 AU Position on Future Negotiations with EU Sparks Controversy”

Brexit Implications for ACP EU Post Cotonou Negotiation in the Agro-food Sector

The 22 February 2018 ACT Alliance convened a seminar on the Implications of Brexit in the agro-food sector for ACP countries, included an afternoon session on the implications of Brexit for the forthcoming ACP-EU Post-Cotonou negotiations and the possible ramifications for ACP agro-food sectors. This note summarises the main points made in the initial presentation during this session. It is not an exploration of all the issues arising in the context of these forthcoming negotiations but rather provides an introduction to some of the most salient aspects of the impact of the Brexit process on the post-Cotonou negotiations as this impinges on the agro-food sector relationship. It looked at these salient aspects with reference to 3 specific dimensions: trade relations, development cooperation and political relations and seeks to selectively review the implications for different ACP regions. Read more “Brexit Implications for ACP EU Post Cotonou Negotiation in the Agro-food Sector”

Brexit and the Disruption of Triangular Supply Chains

On 22 February 2018 ACT Alliance convened Seminar on the Implications of Brexit in the agro-food sector for ACP countries and for the forthcoming ACP-EU Post-Cotonou negotiations. A series of twelve 2 page summary notes were produced for the seminar covering both substantive issues arising within the Brexit process and the current state of play in the Brexit process. Note 7 explores the potential of the Brexit process to disrupt the functioning of triangular supply chains which serve the UK market via an initial port of landing in an EU27 member state or EU27 markets via a port of landing in the UK. Read more “Brexit and the Disruption of Triangular Supply Chains”

Impact of Brexit on the Functioning of EU27 Markets: The Case of Sugar and Bananas

On 22 February 2018 ACT Alliance convened Seminar on the Implications of Brexit in the agro-food sector for ACP countries and for the forthcoming ACP-EU Post-Cotonou negotiations. A series of twelve 2 page summary notes were produced for the seminar covering both substantive issues arising within the Brexit process and the current state of play in the Brexit process. Note 6 explores the impact of Brexit on the functioning of EU27 markets with specific reference to the sugar and banana sectors given the extent if EU bilaterally agreed TRQ arrangements and the scale of UK import demand within the overall EU28 market equation. Read more “Impact of Brexit on the Functioning of EU27 Markets: The Case of Sugar and Bananas”